Women’s Semifinal Preview: For Keys and Sabalenka, It’s Deja Vu At Indian Wells

Women’s Semifinal, Three Key Stats: 

  • Madison Keys has won all ten deciding sets she has played in 2025. 
  • Aryna Sabalenka and Keys have played three deciding sets, with the American winning two.
  • Sabalenka has yet to drop a set thus far at Indian Wells, but Keys comes in riding a 16-match win streak. 

Madison Keys climbed the mountain in January, staring down the barrel of Aryna Sabalenka’s weapons-grade tennis and emerging with a stunning upset of the three-time major champion in one of the most memorable Australian Open women’s singles finals of this century. 

On Friday at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden, Keys will have to scale the heights once again. 

She’ll face the top seed and 2023 BNP Paribas Open runner-up for the seventh time in what is sure to be a riveting affair – we only have to look at a few of their previous meetings to make this deduction. 

There was the heartbreaking defeat that Keys suffered at the hands of Sabalenka at the US Open in 2023, a loss that left the American dejected, yet still hopeful. 

“Right now it sucks,” Keys said at the time, after the 0-6, 7-6(1), 7-6(5) loss. “But yeah, I just think being able to take this and turn it to a positive is really possible.” 

Fast forward 16 months and Keys would realize her lifelong dream in Melbourne, edging Sabalenka in epic fashion, 6-3, 2-6, 7-5, to claim her first maiden major title.

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