Warriors vs. Grizzlies odds, line, time: 2025 NBA Play-In Tournament picks, April 15 bets by proven model

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The seventh seed and a spot in the Western Conference playoffs is on the line when the Memphis Grizzlies battle the Golden State Warriors in a 2025 NBA Play-In Tournament matchup on Tuesday night. The loser of the game will then take on the winner of the ninth and 10th-place play-in game between Sacramento and Dallas for the eighth and final playoff seed on Friday. The Grizzlies (48-34), who had the eighth-best record in the West, finished 27-24 against conference opponents. The Warriors (48-34), who finished seventh in the conference, were 29-23 against Western Conference foes. Moses Moody (back) is questionable for Golden State.

Tipoff from Chase Center in San Francisco is set for 10 p.m. ET. Golden State won three of four regular-season matchups, including a 134-125 win in their last meeting on April 1. The Warriors are 7-point favorites in the latest Warriors vs. Grizzlies odds from DraftKings sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 227.5, which is a decrease from opening at 231.5. Golden State is at -310 on the money line (risk $310 to win $100), while Memphis is at +248 (risk $100 to win $248). Before making any Grizzlies vs. Warriors picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 156-115 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

Now, the model has simulated Grizzlies vs. Warriors 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Warriors vs. Grizzlies:

Warriors vs. Grizzlies spread: Golden State -7 at DraftKings
Warriors vs. Grizzlies over/under: 227.5 points
Warriors vs. Grizzlies money line: Golden State -310, Memphis +248
MEM: The Grizzlies have hit the money line in 46 of their last 77 games (+10.50 units)
GS: The Warriors have hit the team total under in 22 of their last 34 home games (+8.40 units)
Warriors vs. Grizzlies picks: See picks at SportsLine
Warriors vs. Grizzlies streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why the Warriors can cover

Golden State is led by veteran point guard Stephen Curry. He is 34 points away from becoming the 11th player to ever reach 4,000-plus career points in the postseason. Curry made 311 3-pointers this season, the sixth time he has surpassed 300 in the regular season. The rest of the NBA combined has reached 300 threes made in a season just four times all-time. In 70 games this season, all starts, Curry averaged 24.5 points, six assists, 4.4 rebounds and 1.1 steals in 32.2 minutes.

Also helping power the Warriors is forward Jimmy Butler. In 30 starts with the Warriors after being acquired in February, Butler averaged 17.9 points, 5.9 assists, 5.5 rebounds and 1.7 steals in 32.7 minutes. He joins Rick Barry (1972-73) as the only Warriors players to ever register 15-plus points, five-plus rebounds and five-plus assists through his first 30 games with the franchise. In Sunday’s 124-119 overtime loss to the Los Angeles Clippers, he scored 30 points and added nine assists. See which team to back at SportsLine.

Why the Grizzlies can cover

Point guard Ja Morant is coming off a 21-point and six-assist effort in Friday’s 117-109 loss to the Denver Nuggets. It was his 17th consecutive 20-point game, the third-longest streak of his career. In a 141-125 loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday, he poured in 36 points, while adding six assists. In 50 games this year, all starts, he is averaging 23.2 points, 7.3 assists, 4.1 rebounds and 1.2 steals in 30.4 minutes.

Power forward Jaren Jackson Jr. has reached double-digit scoring in each of his last 15 games he has played in. In Friday’s loss to the Nuggets, he scored 18 points, while adding two blocks and two assists. In the April 1 loss to the Warriors, he scored 22 points, while grabbing seven boards. In 74 games, all starts, he is averaging 22.2 points, 5.6 rebounds, two assists, 1.5 blocks and 1.2 steals in 29.8 minutes. See which team to back at SportsLine.

How to make Warriors vs. Grizzlies picks

SportsLine’s model has simulated Grizzlies vs. Warriors 10,000 times and is leaning Under the total, projecting 221 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits over 50% of the time. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.

So who wins Warriors vs. Grizzlies, and which side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Grizzlies vs. Warriors spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.