We’re just over a third of the way through February, and an active weather pattern has delivered rounds of storms throughout the region with breaks in between. The jet stream has remained relatively flat, which has allowed for storms to track quickly across the country which, in turn, has sent a storm system our way every couple of days or so.
Boston has seen 8.4 inches of snow so far this month, about 3 inches more than the average through the 10th. Providence has seen 7.7 inches of so far this month — nearly double the average — while other larger New England cities have mostly seen average or slightly above-average totals.
Tuesday will start with mostly sunny skies, but a looming storm will bring increasing clouds throughout the day. This system will likely be a miss for our region but some snow showers are expected for parts of Southern New England later tonight, mostly around the Mass. Pike and south toward the southern coast and the Cape.
Decently strong high pressure to our north and an associated cold front will help bump this winter storm to our south late Tuesday evening. Most of the snow will fall across the Mid-Atlantic, but the northern side of the storm will clip parts of Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Massachusetts — likely only bringing a small coating to some spots along I-90 and perhaps an inch across more coastal areas. Flakes may start to fall somewhere between 7 p.m. and 9 p.m. and exit by early morning.
A few pop-up snow showers may develop across parts of Vermont, New Hampshire, and Western Maine as the front pushes into New England today, but those, too, will only bring a quick coating.
Temperatures on Tuesday will likely stall a few degrees below the average with a light southwesterly flow, rising only to the low 30s.
To break it down in term of impacts, there’s really not a whole lot to worry about with this system. The core of the storm exits off the Atlantic coast by Virginia and loses steam as it does so. Most will wake up Wednesday with precipitation long gone and only a few lingering snow showers expected across the Cape during the first half of the morning.
The next real chance for widespread winter precipitation comes late Wednesday night and into Thursday morning with a more potent set-up entering the picture.
It’s still early, but there’s the chance for two areas of low pressure to interact. That could mean anywhere between 1 and 3 inches of snow across Massachusetts — including Boston — and southern portions of Vermont and New Hampshire, with locally higher amounts. The southernmost low will also draw some warm air into the region, which will likely set up a definitive rain-snow line, with some folks across Southern New England seeing a blend of snow to a wintry mix.
Southern New England: A mostly calm winter day on Tuesday with a sunny start leading to a cloudy afternoon. Highs push into the low 30s with light wind. A couple snow showers will begin entering the picture after dinner and stick around through the night, especially across Hartford, Providence, and into the South Shore. Accumulations may be about an inch.
Central and Western Mass.: Increasing clouds throughout the day Tuesday with highs from Worcester to Springfield stalling just around freezing. The Berkshires see temperatures stay in the upper 20s. A snow shower may pass through later in the evening with perhaps a coating possible, but this is really only for the Mass Pike and areas south, near Great Barrington, Palmer, and towns like Webster.
Cape and Islands: A quiet day with increasing clouds. Temperatures stay in the low 30s with a few snow showers to light snow later in the evening. New Bedford to the Cape might pick up an inch of snow overnight.
Northern New England: A mix of sun and clouds with a passing front. A couple snow showers will develop along the front starting late morning and passing east through the afternoon. A coating is only expected with these snow showers. Otherwise, highs stick to the mid and upper 20s for folks north of Bennington, Vt., and Concord, N.H.
Ken Mahan can be reached at [email protected]. Follow him on Instagram @kenmahantheweatherman.



