Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 19

Data Skrive

Xavier Edwards and the Miami Marlins will attempt to take down Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies when the teams square off on Saturday at 1:05 p.m. ET. The Marlins are +174 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Phillies (-209). Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +101 odds). The over/under for the contest has been set at 10 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Bryce Harper crushed a two-run homer to give the Philadelphia Phillies an early lead over the Miami Marlins.

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 1:05 p.m. ET
Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and FDSFL

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds Phillies -209 +174 10 -115 -105 -1.5 +101 -121

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 4
Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
Win Probabilities: Phillies 55%, Marlins 45%

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Insights

The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 14 times this season and won eight, or 57.1%, of those games.
Philadelphia has entered three games this season favored by -209 or more, and won each of those games.
The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 67.6%.
The Marlins have won in six, or 37.5%, of the 16 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This year, Miami has won one of five games when listed as at least +174 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 36.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies played as the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and finished 3-4 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Phillies have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total Record 4-6 Runs Per Game 3.5 HR 8 ERA 4.91 K/9 9.1

Phillies Player Insights

Schwarber has gone yard six times in the 2025 campaign while driving in 14 runs, both totals that lead the Phillies.
In all of the majors, Schwarber is fourth in homers and 19th in RBI.
Schwarber has collected a hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .267 with six walks and two RBI.
Bryce Harper is batting .261 with two doubles, four home runs and 16 walks.
Harper is 30th in homers in the majors, and 84th in RBI.
Nicholas Alexander Castellanos leads the Phillies with a team-best batting average of .304.
Castellanos will look to build on his four-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .294 with a home run, two walks and three RBI.
Bryson Stott has three doubles, a triple, a home run and seven walks while hitting .271.
Stott takes a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a double, a triple, two walks and an RBI.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 3-6.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
Over their last 10 games, the Marlins are 3-7-0 against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total Record 4-6 Runs Per Game 4.6 HR 7 ERA 4.91 K/9 7.8

Marlins Player Insights

Edwards leads the Marlins with a team-leading batting average of .333.
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Edwards is 250th in homers and 128th in RBI.
Edwards brings a hitting streak of 10 games into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is batting .400 with a double, eight walks and four RBI.
Otto Lopez is hitting .239 with five doubles, two home runs and nine walks.
Lopez ranks 100th overall in homers and 84th in RBI this season.
Griffin Conine is batting .298 with six doubles, a home run and seven walks.
Matt Mervis has put up a team-leading six home runs and has driven in 12 runs.

Bryce Harper crushed a two-run homer to give the Philadelphia Phillies an early lead over the Miami Marlins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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