Kings vs. Warriors odds, line: Proven model reveals picks for matchup on March 13, 2025

The Golden State Warriors look to earn their sixth win in a row when they battle the Sacramento Kings in a key Pacific Division matchup on Thursday night. Sacramento is coming off a 133-104 loss to the Knicks on Monday, while Golden State defeated the Trail Blazers 130-120 that same night. The Kings (33-31), fourth in the division and ninth in the Western Conference, are 17-16 on the road. The Warriors (37-28), second in the Pacific and sixth in the West, are 19-13 on their home court. Domantas Sabonis (hamstring) is listed as questionable after being out since March 1, while Jonathan Kuminga (probable) is expected to play for the first time since Jan. 4.

Tip-off from Chase Center in San Francisco is set for 10 p.m. ET. Sacramento has won two of the three meetings this season, but Golden State prevailed in their last matchup. The Warriors are 7-point favorites in the latest Kings vs. Warriors odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 233.5. Golden State is at -287 on the money line (risk $287 to win $100), while Sacramento is at +232 (risk $100 to win $232).

Before making any Kings vs. Warriors picks, check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 21 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 148-107 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It’s also an outstanding 19-10 (65%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Kings vs. Warriors 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread cashes in well over 50% of simulations!

Who wins Kings vs. Warriors, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? … Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 148-107 roll on top-rated NBA picks!

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