Steelers 2025 game-by-game picks

With the Pittsburgh Steelers’ schedule now known, I’ll do what I do every year and predict every game on their schedule the week of the schedule release.

NOTE: These predictions are under the assumption that Aaron Rodgers is signing with the Steelers

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Ranking the Steelers’ 2025 schedule from easiest to hardest

Week 1: at New York Jets

In the matchup of duel-revenge games with Justin Fields and (likely) Aaron Rodgers, the Steelers will come out on top over first-year head coach Aaron Glenn.

Final Prediction: Steelers 20, Jets 16

Week 2: vs. Seattle Seahawks

I’m very low on the Seahawks. Getting rid of Geno Smith, but signing Sam Darnold, felt like a lateral move at best. DK Metcalf will also be very motivated to defeat his old team.

Final Prediction: Steelers 23, Seahawks 13

Week 3: at New England Patriots

The Steelers have lost eight of their last nine against the Patriots, and haven’t won in New England since 2008. The Patriots will be a playoff team in 2025, and this is where the Steelers suffer their first loss.

Final Prediction: Patriots 23, Steelers 17

Week 4: vs. Minnesota Vikings (Ireland)

I seem to be lower on the Vikings than the consensus. J.J. McCarthy is practically a rookie, and there is no way a 14-win magic carpet ride takes place again.

Final Prediction: Steelers 17, Vikings 13

Week 5: BYE

Week 6: vs. Cleveland Browns

Maybe Kenny Pickett will start against the Steelers (fingers crossed).

Final Prediction: Steelers 27, Browns 13

Week 7: at Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals are my pick to win the AFC North. Baltimore has won it two years in a row, and no team has ever won the division three straight times. That offense will continue to be deadly, and the defense will improve by default.

Final Prediction: Bengals 28, Steelers 20

Week 8: vs. Green Bay Packers

The Packers are my pick to get the No. 1 seed in the NFC, and they’ll hand the Steelers their second straight loss.

Final Prediction: Packers 27, Steelers 24

Week 9: vs. Indianapolis Colts

The Colts have had the Steelers’ number over the last two years. That ends this season, as Pittsburgh will probably be playing Daniel Jones at this point.

Final Prediction: Steelers 30, Colts 17

Week 10: at Los Angeles Chargers

The last time the Steelers played the Chargers in Los Angeles, Ben Roethlisberger had one of his last great quarterback duels with Justin Herbert, and the Steelers lost 41-37. It’ll be a toss-up, but I’ll give the edge to the Chargers at home.

Final Prediction: Chargers 24, Steelers 22

Week 11: vs. Cincinnati Bengals

The Steelers get a big division win at home after losing three of their last four.

Final Prediction: Steelers 27, Bengals 23

Week 12: at Chicago Bears

Aaron Rodgers still owns the Bears, even though Chicago will be a very fun team in 2025.

Final Prediction: Steelers 31, Bears 27

Week 13: vs. Buffalo Bills

The reigning MVP Josh Allen will come into Pittsburgh and leave with a win.

Final Prediction: Bills 28, Steelers 17

Week 14: at Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens will win their third straight game over Pittsburgh, causing the Steelers to lose two straight against AFC powerhouses.

Final Prediction: Ravens 26, Steelers 20

Week 15: vs. Miami Dolphins

Bold take, but this will be Tua Tagovailoa’s last year as the Dolphins quarterback. Miami can’t win in cold weather, so pencil this in for a Steelers win.

Final Prediction: Steelers 34, Dolphins 20

Week 16: at Detroit Lions

`I’d love to pick the Steelers to win here, and think they definitely could, considering I also believe the Lions will take a small step back in 2025. However, I’ll give them the slight edge in this one.

Final Prediction: Lions 20, Steelers 16

Week 17: at Cleveland Browns

The Steelers seem to split with the Browns every year, but I’m picking them to sweep in 2025. It may come back to bite me, but that’s what I’m going with.

Final Prediction: Steelers 17, Browns 9

Week 18: vs. Baltimore Ravens

The Steelers get their win back and once again finish with 10 wins.

Final Prediction: Steelers 19, Ravens 16

Final Record Prediction: 10-7

It feels like the Steelers have lived at 10 wins over the last handful of years. Maybe it’s because if they finish 10-7, it will be the third straight time they’ve done it

While the Jets weren’t good in 2024, Rodgers still had 28 touchdown passes, which is the number MVP Josh Allen finished with, for what it’s worth. That said, I believe the Steelers will finish 10-7 again, and maybe even steal an additional game to get to 11 wins.

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